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The
Court may, under the "Daubert" ruling, find scientific testimony to be
inadmissible for lack of recitation of its bounds of
reliability. Take
the high ground; use the advanced
statistical methods of CRASHEX to be ready to meet ~ and,
furthermore, to mount
~ such a challenge. See the DAUBERT AND
AR slide show. Then see the RELIABILITY RECONSTRUCTION slide show
as used for presentation of the Society of Automotive Engineers paper
on Applied Finite Difference Analysis.
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COMPUTERIZED
RECONSTRUCTION OF
APPROACH
SPEEDS ON THE
HIGHWAY,
EXTENDED --
CRASHEX
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You are a skilled automobile accident
reconstructionist --- but --- can you state the 95% likely span
of your best estimate? You should be able to. If not, you are not (so
far as the jury is concerned) convincingly expressing your confidence
in your own opinion. You may also be failing (so far as the judge is
concerned) to satisfy the Daubert
"reliability standard."
You (and, for that matter, your opponent) should be able and
eager to answer this question --
With reasonable engineering
certainty, based on the evidence what are the speeds of the vehicles at
impact -- AND by how
much might they vary from those values?
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- Nothing is known with certainty, but due to
recent research the reliability of every measurement on which your
reconstruction is based is known.
- Given that, there is an elegant statistical method
of finding the reliability of your reconstruction.
- This is done after you have developed your "best
case," either
- within the downloadable program, or
- after you have completed your analysis
using your usual means of reconstruction or simulation.
- CRASHEX 3.1 provides that method - and
NEXT

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