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COMPUTERIZED RECONSTRUCTION OF APPROACH SPEEDS ON THE HIGHWAY, EXTENDED -- CRASHEX
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You are a skilled automobile accident reconstructionist --- but --- can you state the 95% likely span of your best estimate? You should be able to. If not, you are not (so far as the jury is concerned) convincingly expressing your confidence in your own opinion. You may also be failing (so far as the judge is concerned) to satisfy the Daubert "reliability standard."
You should be both able and eager to answer this question --
With reasonable engineering certainty, based on the evidence what are the speeds of the vehicles at impact -- AND by how much might they vary from those values?
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- Nothing is known with certainty, but due to recent research the reliability of every measurement on which your reconstruction is based is known.
- Given that, there is an elegant statistical method of finding the reliability of your reconstruction.
- This is done after you have developed your "best case," either
- within the downloadable program, or
- after you have completed your analysis using your usual means of reconstruction or simulation.
- CRASHEX 4.0 provides that method - and
NEXT
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